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Rice researcher finds risk assessment tools may increase incarceration rates

from Houston Chornicle

For more than four decades, experts have evaluated criminal acts the way they have car crashes: If you've had one, you may be more likely to have another. That principle — and the actuarial data to back it up — is the basis for things like car insurance rates. But it's also the cornerstone of criminal justice risk assessment tools, algorithms developed to figure out whether a prisoner is a good candidate for release, whether a probationer needs more or less supervision and what services parolees might need. more

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